What is the year 2012? Is it the year of revelation/end of days/renissance? What have the world leaders feared most? Why is this year part of all spiritual scriptures? Is it time for all to say kum-bie-yah and brace for the inevitable? Let's try and answer some of that.
Do you remember the end of world war II? What was the outcome?
Its simple - While the United Nations was established to foster international cooperation and prevent future conflicts, the Soviet Union and the United States emerged as two rival superpowers. Ref. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/World_War_II
What has America done to mantain its dominance? What were the challanges it faced?
America has been a nation that dominated the world war II by sheer force. Force comes at a highly expensive cost - technology, infrastructure, communication, advanced weaponry, defence trainings, assault missions, etc.
How has it funded these operations in the past?
The wealth America obtained was basically by pushing one country against the other - always. Taking someone's side, biasing the policies and decisions of the UNO, getting financial aid, using it to develop methods to be ahead of the race. America used to manufacture the highest number of millitary supplies to the rest of the world - just to keep them protected! This in turn generated huge funds which America could play with. The dominance America maintained over the nations showed right from the way the American president shook hands with the British Queen after the world war, to the way America charged over Iraq. Terrorism has been always led by american ideas at some point. People watced war moviews and read novels to understand the tactics people used to gain supremacy in the world war and the American ways of survival.
What was the move that America made wrongly?
America started depleting in resources and then saw that there was cheap labour available in the world. India and China provided a workforce that was much more economical compared to their own workforce. They resorted to means such as improving technology and trying to sell technology to the world, and trying really hard to be the superpower in that domain, and capture the markets again. They were able to withhold their technical stronghold but with rising deficit in the world markets.
It is this factor that pushed them to either decline their dominance or get more money somehow. The money markets transferred towards Europe because Russia was no longer a unified country. It was no more USSR but many Russian countries with seperate policies and seperate leaders with no unified government capable of taking over power. Meanwhile, the prices for the prishable natural resource - oil had gone up worldwide to above a staggering 130 dollars, ref. http://www.oilnergy.com/hpix/2opostm.gif, the highest in known man history. This propelled the president of the United States to attack the biggest natural oil resource known and take dominance of the oil resources on the pretext of removing terrorism from that land. It attacked Iraq by force in an act of sheer dominance and heartless killings being only greedy for the money due to the oil it will gain after. That led to unrest among the entire world thinking that if America could order a strike on Iraq, then any nation in the world could be next. People started moving against the Americans - Indians struck first blood in 2005 by starting a movement to actually take over the american dominance. Ref. http://www.expressindia.com/news/fullstory.php?newsid=43057.
What is the most possible outcome?
http://www.13moon.com/prophecy%20page.htm. Most possibly 2012 is the date when the world markets will collapse, bringing about a new world order and ruling central currency. It is not the end of days for sure.
3 comments:
It is highly likely that India will lead the world financial markets to better stability with the help of the brightest minds of the 21st century. This would mean higher employment for our people and also an increased inflow of finances from the worlds leading financial institutions.
Agree about American dominance. No second thoughts on that..
But there is no other alternative as safe and robust as America and its dollar. India and China are just walking up. They still have a long way to go. China will collapse if Americans reduce consumption. India will collapse if Americans reduce pumping money in Indian markets - more than 50% money in our market is from foreign investors. Also, China has most of its surplus reserves in the dollar - if dollar dies, Chinese savings will disappear.
This is a complete catch 22 and 2012 is too early a timeline to untangle the knots!!
The money market is a global table where all nations sit and decide which is the best country to invest into. Its not just a stock listing on a screen where people sell and buy stocks. It is a disciplined analysis of a country's potential growth, its current industrial turnovers and the monetary value of its resources and infrastructure. The countries invest into one nation as a whole to gain the maximum out of their investment and grow the other nation.
In such a scenario, when America is not a world dominator anymore, it has no right to either think that investing in Pakistan or Iraq will be more beneficial than either investing in India or China. The fact of the matter is, even if America does not invest in India or China, other nations except the few nations that still adhere to America's call because it sells them cheap weapons and grants them aid, all nations will be fighting for their survival. And with the knowledge level of the common man today, knowing about EPS, PE ratios, and everything that is used by the banks to calculate the money, I can be rest assured that everyone on that table/conference will choose the best country to Invest in and it will not be biased by America's decision. So basically whatever the Americans do for now, they are alone, until they do some world leading discovery on the basis of their advanced technology, even for which they have had to cut fundings.
As for 2012, it is not too far a timeline, if one really turns the pages of the newspapers and reads between the lines. Every nation wants an out from the dominance by fools. Every nation wants to safeguard their future and invest with a country that has immense manpower to research a solution to their biggest two problems - namely land and food. If this scenario is actually thought of, and it is assumed that the countries decide one nation to be responsible for their development, imagine the growth the markets will see, which actually is necessary, and since there is no dominance or foul gameplay at hand now, there will be openness about the best investments to the common investor - which is again necessary since governments need to empower their people for the future.
So a unified effort from all countries in one aligned direction with the use of advanced technology and resources does not make 2012 a very aggressive target, although it still is only probably a concept of my thoughts or my limited understanding of world powers that makes me think so.
Post a Comment